TCC - Bacharelado em Ciências Econômicas (Sede)
URI permanente para esta coleçãohttps://arandu.ufrpe.br/handle/123456789/418
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Resultados da Pesquisa
Item Curva Ambiental de Kuznets: uma análise macroeconômica entre crescimento econômico e impacto ambiental no período de 2000 a 2020(2025-03-14) Abreu, Ian Bernard Costa de; Carneiro, Ana Cristina Guimarães; http://lattes.cnpq.br/7641686662966528O presente estudo investiga a validade da Curva Ambiental de Kuznets (CAK) por meio de uma análise macroeconômica da relação entre crescimento econômico e impacto ambiental em 161 países, no período de 2000 a 2020. Utilizando dados em painel, o modelo de Efeitos Fixos foi adotado para controlar diferenças estruturais entre os países, garantindo estimativas mais robustas. Testes econométricos, como Hausman, Breusch-Pagan e Wooldridge, foram aplicados para validar a escolha do modelo e corrigir possíveis problemas estatísticos. Os resultados indicam que, ao contrário da hipótese tradicional da CAK, a relação entre PIB per capita e emissões de CO₂ é predominantemente positiva no período analisado, sem evidências claras de um ponto de inflexão que represente a redução das emissões nos países mais ricos. Isso sugere que o crescimento econômico, por si só, pode não ser suficiente para mitigar os impactos ambientais, reforçando a necessidade de políticas ambientais ativas. Esses achados contribuem para o debate sobre desenvolvimento sustentável e auxiliam na formulação de estratégias mais eficazes para a redução das emissões globais.Item Desenvolvimento econômico em discussão: o desenvolvimentismo e neodesenvolvimentismo no Brasil(2024-10-04) Raimundo, Maria Aparecida de Araújo; Freitas, Petrus Alves; http://lattes.cnpq.br/1474091666288817This study examines the evolution of developmentalism and neo-developmentalism approaches in Brazil. Developmentalism, established during the Vargas era, was a strategy focused on industrialization, import substitution, and state intervention, with an emphasis on large infrastructure projects and the creation of state-owned enterprises. Neo-developmentalism, implemented during the governments of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Dilma Rousseff, combined inclusive social policies, such as Bolsa Família, with the promotion of industrialization, innovation, and infrastructure, aiming to correct social inequalities and encourage sustainable economic growth. The analysis explores the similarities and differences between these two approaches, evaluating their impacts on economic growth, social inclusion, and macroeconomic challenges. The conclusion is that, while both strategies were essential for Brazil's development, they faced significant challenges, such as external resource dependency and fiscal crises.Item Investimentos em transporte rodoviário e desempenho econômico do Nordeste brasileiro(2023-09-05) Oliveira, Alessandro Araújo de; Silva, Diego Firmino Costa da; http://lattes.cnpq.br/8895265465747877; http://lattes.cnpq.br/4862772810331109This monograph has the general objective of using bivariate spatial autocorrelation measures and the Ordinary Least Squares method to assess the impacts of public policies within the scope of road transport infrastructure on the long-term economic performance of the Brazilian Northeast, as well as its neighborhood. We verified how the transition from railroads to highways from the 1960s onwards influenced the long-term spatial pattern of activities in the Northeast. We calculated the differentials of the minimum distances between 1960 to 1970, 1970 to 1980, 1980 to 1990, 1990 to 2000 and 2000 to 2010. With this, it was possible to know which comparable minimum areas of the Northeast are more lived or spatially heterogeneous, and which ones have behaved these locations over the decades, through the Clusters map. It will also be possible to estimate whether reductions in the distance to access roads had an effect on long-term economic growth in the following decades in the region. Important results were identified in economic growth at local levels as observed in the cluster maps. However, based on the results extracted using the ordinary least squares method, consider that this expansion of highways and the reduction of distances over the decades were not enough to bring statistically achieved results that could confirm that the evolution of the road network can bring a higher GDP per capita throughout the northeastern territory.Item Desenvolvimento econômico brasileiro: uma análise do papel do Estado no processo de intensificação da industrialização(2021-07-23) Antunes, Safya Araújo de Lima de Sá; Silva Filho, Guerino Edécio da; http://lattes.cnpq.br/2977795200183918Item O Novo Desenvolvimentismo como estratégia de promoção do crescimento econômico no Brasil no período de 2003 a 2013(2021-12-17) Maia, Pedro Henrique Temoteo de Araujo; Souto, Keynis Cândido de; http://lattes.cnpq.br/0393274407907348In 2003, New Developmentalism emerged as a third alternative economic strategy for promoting growth, critical of development policies that were based on Classical Developmentalism and Conventional Orthodoxy. The failure of Classical Orthodoxy policies in the 1990s in Latin America led to the rise of leftist governments in the region, resulting in Brazil's election of President Lula. From then on, the literature on the subject goes on to state that some of the measures defended by the New Developmentalism were adopted by the Lula government. The main objective of this paper is to discuss whether New Developmentalism was used as a strategy to promote economic growth in Brazil in the period 2003-2013, which comprises three presidential terms, first (2003-2006) and second (2007-2010) Lula, and part of the first Dilma administration (2011-2013), and which was marked by a robust economic growth of the Brazilian Gross Domestic Product. Having as its main theoretical foundation the New Developmentalist Theory, the work sought to analyze and discuss characteristics of New Developmentalism in the period in question, focusing specifically on monetary policy, interest rate conduction and its effect on inflation, and in the conduction of exchange rate and its effect on the “Dutch Disease” problem. Furthermore, it sought to identify the main problems in implementing the policies proposed by the new developmentalist strategy. Based on the results, it was possible to conclude that: the addition of new developmentalist policies in the first Lula administration does not allow us to characterize it as a purist of the new model. The first Lula government (2003-2006) was initially marked by the maintenance of the neoliberal policy of the predecessor government and dealt with a high international demand for commodities, high interest rates and exchange rate appreciation. In the second Lula government (2007-2010) there was an expansion of policies to encourage domestic consumption and a growth model opposed to export-led. The third term, corresponding to part of the first Dilma Rousseff government (2011-2013), established a political agenda that favored Brazilian industrial entrepreneurs, promoted a weak exchange rate devaluation and a drop in interest rates. It was evident that in none of the governments of the period the Dutch Disease was fought.Item Relação entre gastos públicos e crescimento econômico: uma análise sobre os municípios de Pernambuco de 2011 a 2015(2019) Patriota, Michel Plattinnir Dellavanch Ferreira de Araujo; Coelho Júnior, Álvaro Furtado; http://lattes.cnpq.br/1248468009730949; http://lattes.cnpq.br/0451524972987133In recent times, a concern about public spending on economics has become one of the recurring themes, without which search to understand the role of devices and their relationship with the level of economic activity. From this perspective, the present study investigated the relationship between public spending at the municipal level of growth of the Gross Domestic Product. Public expenditures related to health and sanitation, education and culture, care and welfare, housing and urbanism, and the impact of municipal revenues on GDP were analyzed. Thus, a survey sample limited 178 municipalities from Pernambuco out of 185 existing for lack of information. The data were taken by the CONDEPE-FIDEM Agency and the National Treasury Secretariat (STN). The period between 2011 and 2015 was chosen because it presented the largest amount of information about the municipalities. In order to identify the relationship between spending and municipal economic growth, four economic models were estimated from the Ordinary Least Squares Method in cross section. The results of the estimates given by spending on education and culture; housing and urbanism; and health and sanitation were statistically without growth in municipal output; showing that public spending in these areas contributes positively to municipal GDP.Item Uma análise dos efeitos da corrupção sobre os indicadores de Desenvolvimento econômico dos países do BRICS(2019) Souza, Vitória Monteiro Paz; Souza, Poema Isis Andrade de; http://lattes.cnpq.br/2017359154121135; http://lattes.cnpq.br/4089472743909769The main focus of this work is to explore the relationship between corruption and economic development in the countries that make up the BRICS group, using exploratory analysis of secondary data. For this purpose, we sought to verify the correlation between the GDP, the HDI and the level of corruption; the latter obtained from two indexes: the Worldwide Governance Index and the Corruption Perceptions Index, built by Transparency International. In this way, a comparative analysis was carried out that followed the evolution of the mentioned indexes of corruption, GDP and HDI of each country object of this study. In addition, fundamental factors for good governance were found; still assured by IT studies and research, possibilities of correlation between types of government regimes and the level of corruption were identified. Finally, the results were analyzed, followed by a brief discussion about the theme of this work, concluding that the evidences suggests that there is interference of the level of corruption in the indices of human development and economic growth in BRICS countries.