Bacharelado em Ciências Econômicas (Sede)

URI permanente desta comunidadehttps://arandu.ufrpe.br/handle/123456789/7


Siglas das Coleções:

APP - Artigo Publicado em Periódico
TAE - Trabalho Apresentado em Evento
TCC - Trabalho de Conclusão de Curso

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    A independência do Banco Central e a inflação: uma análise da relação entre autonomia e estabilidade de preços no Brasil
    (2025-02-26) Bandeira, João Pedro de Melo; Gomes, Sónia Maria Fonseca Pereira Oliveira; http://lattes.cnpq.br/9795791528582607; http://lattes.cnpq.br/8227603670360507
    This monograph aims to test the theory of Central Bank Independence. To this end, it seeks to evaluate the possible relationships between BACEN independence and relevant economic variables, especially inflation. The main focus is to examine whether there is a relationship between greater autonomy of the monetary authority and price stability. An Ordinary Least Squares model was applied for the period between 1995 and 2024 and found signs that higher levels of turnover may be associated with higher inflation, when using turnover as a proxy for the degree of real independence. However, there does not appear to be a relationship between inflation and the Central Bank's legal independence index (BCI) for the Brazilian data, which may indicate that the institution's formal autonomy, although essential for economic predictability and the credibility of monetary policy, does not, by itself, guarantee inflation control. Another important aspect is that the Brazilian case tends to show that the stability of monetary policy and the independence of the Central Bank are relevant factors for a predictable economic environment, but insufficient to contain inflation if they are not accompanied by a responsible fiscal policy and a favorable macroeconomic context.
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    Como as políticas econômicas adotadas no Brasil influenciaram o comportamento da inflação na economia a partir do Plano Real?
    (2023-05-02) Araújo, Carlos Daniel Ribeiro de; Souza, Poema Isis Andrade de; http://lattes.cnpq.br/2017359154121135; http://lattes.cnpq.br/3096597320830083
    This monograph analyzes how the economic policies adopted in Brazil influenced the behavior of inflation in the economy, from the first government of Fernando Henrique Cardoso, 1995 until the government of Michel Temer, in 2018, through a bibliographic review and exploratory analysis of secondary data. . There is an analysis of the actions taken by the current governments and the resulting consequences. Therefore, the study concludes that the fiscal and monetary policies implemented by FHC and subsequent governments were, most of the time, effective in keeping inflation under control, but it also points out that external factors, such as the financial crises that occurred in Mexico and the great subprime crisis of 2008, as well as fluctuations in commodities, affected the economy and inflation. The research suggests that constant monitoring of government economic policies is necessary so that there is greater assertiveness in the stability of inflation in the future.